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The old princip KGB : first create the problem and then offer support
In the past year, the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, explaining their understanding of the energy policy, said : "The story of a child : The boy went into the yard with sweetie in sweaty motion. His request : "Give sweetie". And he said : "A me is that?" So why, in the case of the Iranian nuclear dossier Putin finally decided to disclose its sweaty motion, agreeing seems, without any compensation, to the additional UN sanctions against the Islamic Republic, while suspending construction of the nuclear reactor in Bushehr, which is Russia? This is a matter of million dollars, to which no one seems to be not in a position to sufficiently respond. virtually from the first day of his presidency Putin has been the best friend of Iran in the UN, and to say that for a simple coincidence, leading supplier of advanced conventional weapons to Iran. In 2000, the Kremlin cut the so-called "protocol Gor-Chernomyrdin" secret contract concluded Chernomyrdin with the then Vice-President of the United States Albert Gore, which Russia has pledged over five years to stop the sale of arms to Iran. In 2002, the Deputy Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Trubnikov has gone so far as saying : "Russia does not agree with the views of President George W. Bush that Iran is part of the" axis of evil. " Since then, Russia has opened to provide Iran tech defence systems. Reliable sources report that Russia also secretly helped Iran in the development of ballistic-missile technology. Boucherski contract itself estimated at one billion dollars, was to be only the beginning of a project to build five reactors, which would generate 10 billion dollars in profit. Russian diplomats nullify the value of the sanctions, which so far have intensive Iran UN. In January, Secretary of the Russian Security Council Igor Ivanov visited the supreme leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei. It seems that the meeting was successful. "The Islamic Republic, Ayatollah said, the all-round expansion of relations with Russia and believes that the possibility of expanding ties between the two countries more than we thought." Then, on March 19, Iranian, European and American sources reported that Russia had informed Iran to refuse to supply necessary for the completion of the reactor uranium if Iran does not meet the requirements of the UN resolution, according to which it should suspend work on uranium enrichment. In addition, referring to the disagreement over the payments Russia has started to withdraw some of the two contractors in the construction of the reactor, calling it a normal rotation of personnel. Diplomatic sources in the United Nations Security Council have confirmed that Russia had interesting desire to cooperate in the debate, unanimously adopted Saturday the resolution on Iran, and even rejected an attempt by some of the non-permanent Council members that the wording of a resolution on the nuclear-weapon-free Middle East, which is a disguised call for the disarmament of Israel. So what's happening? If the experience, in the final analysis may be that there's nothing special. In 2003, at the summit of the Group of Eight in the French Evian Putin assured all other leaders that Russia would not supply Iran with nuclear fuel if Tehran does not agree to a verification of its nuclear facilities UN inspectors. However, in some it was "clarification" of the Minister of Atomic Energy of Russia, who said that Russia will supply fuel regardless of the decision on the tests will Iran. Echoing this story, the permanent representative of Russia to the United Nations, Vitaly Churkin, recently assured that "Russia has made Iran no ultimatum" and the deal with Iran "remains in force." Simply put, the dispute (easy) on the payments it may be the "lamp", and not "smoke", which lies more than a "smoke", which was intended to serve as a cloak for a radical change in Russian policy. For its part, American diplomats have its case that rossiisko-iranski divide is real, as the Iranians, who last week publicly accused Russia that it is "unreliable partner", ready to "double standards." The words were chosen very carefully. As Victor says Asmann, an analyst with Radio Free Europe, "Russia is concerned about its commercial supplier and the preservation of its political reputation in the Islamic world." This is now, when once bedstvovavschie military exporters Russia thrive by selling simple and inexpensive weapons to Syria, Libya, Venezuela, Yemen, Algeria and other simple and little countries. If Russia would appear that it came as a result of international pressure on Iran and other dubious regimes would be less likely to be its customers. But another interpretation of the events suggests that the mixed signals coming from Russia reflects political multiple personalities in the actual Kremlin. "In Moscow, there is an active proiranske lobby," says a military correspondent for "Novaya Gazeta" Felgengauer. He, however, added that the change in the policies of Moscow are the result of the nuclear Iran as a serious threat to Russia and its national interests. " Among other indicators that Felgengauer said Russia increased its fleet in the oil-rich gas and the Caspian Sea. The Russia may also start to notice that his reputation in the West, of which she, in a sense, it would be, it is becoming worse. "There is a small group of Western politicians who believe that cooperation with the most industrialized countries, notably the United States, Russia will provide much more than underhand deals with unreliable partners, such as China, Iran, Iraq and Libya, says former Russian diplomat Victor Mizin, deep analytical article in the Middle East Review of International Affairs. There is a hypothesis "potny bench." Last year, opponents of the government and Putin were indignant when Bush government agreed to accept Russia into the World Trade Organization without, at first glance, nothing in return. "cool change" Bushehr is to be postponed Damocles (or hidden) charge for it. Or another option : Russia believes that the unexpected attitude on the Iranian dossier give it some dividends important for the issues, in particular in the area, which it is traditionally considered its sphere of influence. A recent article in the Los Angeles Times ( "Game with Russia"), which could be Damocles a test, Dmitry watch from Nicksonovsky centre has two options that Russia might need to replace : self republic Abkhazia and South Ossetia, formally belonging to Georgia, which Putin has said on Russian, and the long-standing issue of the independence of Kosovo, to which Russia strongly opposed. Meanwhile, the Kremlin is not imposing in any bridges, which says Glen Howard of the Jamestown Foundation, the old princip KGB : first create the problem and then offer support. At least, the Putin clearly their principles.
Категория: Russia | Добавил: usa (28.03.2007)
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